International Trade as a Component for a Country’s Resilience to War: Case Study – Ukraine

Oksana KIFORENKO

https://doi.org/10.53465/CEECBE.2025.9788022552257.155-169

 

Abstract: Building resilience to such an influential process as a war, that is the ability to adapt well to unexpected changes and events arising in the course of its going on, is a vital necessity for either a country’s survival or its rebuilding in the after-war period. International trade is one of the most powerful tools for building resilience against human-made challenges like a war. International trade is an important source of money earning for Ukraine and it increased in its importance with the war actions going on on its territory. The following tools and methods of scientific research were used while conducting the research: empirical, statistical and comparative analyses, as well as the logical method, including deductive and inductive reasoning, the method of trends, different visualization tools like vertical and horizontal bar and pie charts as well as combined charts, etc. Ukraine noted either its exports or imports decrease in 2022, if compared to those of 2021, while noting its imports increase along with the further exports decrease in 2023. The projections of the country’s international trade in general and its exports and imports in particular for the next two time periods are lower than the last available data values, showing the continuous and long-term impact of the war on the country’s international trade, weakening, at the same time, its resilience.

Keywords: International Trade, Exports, Imports, Trade Balance, Projection, Resilience, Ukraine

JEL Classification codes: H83, F14, F51

 

Fulltext: PDF

 

Published by: Vydavateľstvo EKONÓM, Bratislava University of Economics and Business

Year of publication: 2025

Online publication date: 16 May 2025

Copyright: Author/s of the paper

 

ISBN 978-80-225-5225-7

ISSN 2453-6113

 

Pages: 155-169

 

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